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By Raan (Harvard alumni)

© 2025 stockswarg.com | About | Authors | Disclaimer | Privacy

By Raan (Harvard alumni)

Why is Intel Falling So Much?

Why is Intel Falling So Much?

For decades, the two words ‘Intel Inside’ were a promise of power and reliability. They meant your computer had the best engine available. Yet today, headlines warn of a company in trouble, as rivals like Apple and AMD release products that are suddenly, shockingly, faster and more efficient. So, what happened to the undisputed king of computer chips?

The problem boils down to a simple split in how chips are made: there are architects, and there are construction crews. Companies like Apple and NVIDIA are brilliant architects; they design the detailed blueprints for a chip. Then, they hire a specialized construction crew—a factory-for-hire like TSMC in Taiwan—to build it. For years, Intel proudly insisted on being both the architect and the builder.

The issue was that Intel’s ‘construction crew’ fell dangerously behind schedule. The race to make better chips is all about making the internal parts smaller, a metric measured in “nanometers” (nm). Think of it like a race to build a smaller, more efficient car engine. While Intel struggled for years with its “10nm engine” due to major Intel manufacturing process delays, rivals were already using TSMC to mass-produce faster “7nm” and “5nm” engines.

Ultimately, this meant that for the first time in a generation, the “Intel Inside” promise was broken; competitors simply offered a better product. This effective end of Moore’s Law for Intel—the long-held expectation of constant improvement—has left the tech world asking a monumental question: will Intel catch up to TSMC and its own legacy?

How Competitors Seized the Moment: The Rise of AMD

While Intel’s advanced factories were hitting delay after delay, its oldest rival, AMD, saw a golden opportunity. Since AMD focused only on designing chips and outsourced the manufacturing to expert partners, it wasn’t held back by Intel’s production problems. This allowed AMD to release powerful new processors that were often faster and more affordable, providing clear alternatives to Intel processors for the first time in years. Gamers and PC enthusiasts, always looking for the best performance, started to take notice.

The impact of this shift is best explained by looking at market share. Imagine the entire market for PC and server chips is a giant pizza. For over a decade, Intel reliably owned about 8 out of every 10 slices. But as AMD’s chips improved, they began taking more and more of that pizza. This trend of Intel losing market share was especially stark in the highly profitable server market, where AMD went from having almost no slices to capturing nearly a quarter of the entire pie in just a few years.

This new reality means that when you shop for a Windows PC today, you face a genuine choice between Team Blue (Intel) and Team Red (AMD). However, this direct competition wasn’t the only fire Intel had to fight. One of its most important partners decided it wasn’t just going to switch to a competitor—it was going to stop buying from Intel altogether.

A simple side-by-side comparison of two PC tower cases, one with a red glow and an "AMD" logo visible, the other with a blue glow and an "Intel" logo visible, representing the choice consumers now face

The Apple Effect: Why MacBooks Ditched “Intel Inside”

Losing market share to a competitor like AMD was a serious blow, but the knockout punch to Intel’s reputation came from its longtime partner, Apple. For over a decade, every MacBook proudly featured an Intel processor. Yet Apple, known for its obsession with user experience, had a growing problem that Intel couldn’t solve. They didn’t just want faster chips; they wanted chips that were also incredibly power-efficient. Think of it like a car engine: it’s not enough to be fast if it guzzles gas and overheats. Apple wanted an engine that was both powerful and could run all day on a single “tank” of battery.

This focus on power efficiency—getting the most performance for the least amount of electricity—is what gives you long battery life and a cool, quiet laptop. Because Intel’s manufacturing technology had stalled, its chips required more and more power to deliver speed boosts, which hurt battery life and made laptops run hot. Drawing on its years of experience making ultra-efficient chips for the iPhone, Apple knew it could do better. So it designed its own processor, the M1, and had it built by the same world-class manufacturer that was helping AMD win: TSMC.

The result was a seismic shift in the industry. The new MacBooks with Apple’s M-series chips were radically faster, and their batteries seemed to last forever. For Intel, this was a public relations disaster. It wasn’t just lost business; it was a demonstration from one of the world’s most admired tech companies that “Intel Inside” was no longer the best you could get. This loss of prestige, however, wasn’t confined to personal computers. A similar, even bigger battle was brewing for the future of technology in data centers and artificial intelligence.

Losing More Than Just Laptops: The Fight for the Cloud and AI

While the battle for your laptop is visible, a much bigger and more profitable war is being fought in the shadows for control of the “cloud.” Every time you stream a movie, search on Google, or use a mobile app, you are tapping into a massive, hidden data center—a warehouse packed with thousands of powerful computers called servers. For years, this incredibly lucrative server market was Intel’s fortress, a segment where it held over 99% market share and made most of its profits.

Unfortunately for Intel, the same story that unfolded with laptops is now repeating itself in these data centers. Competitors, especially AMD, are using the same winning playbook: designing powerful server chips and having the more advanced manufacturer, TSMC, build them. As a result, major cloud providers like Amazon and Microsoft are increasingly choosing these more efficient rival chips, eroding Intel’s most important business.

On top of that, a completely new type of computing has exploded onto the scene: artificial intelligence. The complex math behind AI services like ChatGPT doesn’t run best on a traditional processor (CPU). It requires a specialized chip originally designed for video games, called a Graphics Processing Unit (GPU). Think of a CPU as a world-class chef who can prepare one gourmet meal flawlessly. A GPU is like an entire kitchen staff that can make a thousand burgers at once. For AI, you need the thousand burgers.

This new AI market is dominated not by Intel or AMD, but by another company: NVIDIA. By recognizing early that its gaming chips were perfect for AI, NVIDIA positioned itself as the essential supplier for the biggest technology shift in a generation. Facing intense pressure in laptops, losing ground in its data center fortress, and being largely left out of the AI gold rush, Intel was left with a monumental challenge that demanded a radical new plan.

The $100 Billion Comeback Plan: Can a New CEO Fix Intel?

Faced with this crisis, Intel made a dramatic move in 2021 by bringing back a former company veteran, Pat Gelsinger, as its new CEO. He arrived with a bold and incredibly expensive turnaround strategy that boils down to two monumental efforts: fix the core business and build a new one.

The first part of the plan is a staggering bet to get Intel’s manufacturing back on top. The company is pouring over $100 billion into building brand-new, cutting-edge factories in the U.S. and Europe. The goal is simple: to reclaim the title of having the best “construction crew” in the world, ensuring their own chip “architects”—and eventually others—have access to the most advanced technology on the planet.

But the truly radical part of the strategy is a complete reversal of their old philosophy. Remember how Intel always insisted on being both the architect and the builder? Now, Gelsinger is opening up those expensive new factories to become a “builder-for-hire” for other companies, a business model called Intel Foundry Services. In theory, this means even a competitor could one day hire Intel to manufacture its chips.

This massive gamble is Intel’s all-or-nothing attempt to reinvent itself for a new era. It’s an incredibly risky and long-term play that will take years to pay off, if it does at all. The question on everyone’s mind is whether spending a fortune can restore a fallen king to its throne.

The Road Ahead: Will Intel Ever Be King Again?

This grand plan, however, forces Intel into a difficult balancing act. Can a company truly excel at designing its own world-beating chips while also serving as a neutral, trusted factory for its fiercest competitors? It’s a strategic dilemma few have ever faced. Trying to be the best “architect” and the best “builder-for-hire” simultaneously puts an immense strain on focus and resources, forcing a company to serve two masters: itself and its customers.

Furthermore, simply spending billions doesn’t guarantee victory. The question of whether Intel will catch up to TSMC looms large because the target is constantly moving. TSMC has a decade-long head start in the high-end manufacturing race and shows no signs of slowing down. Intel isn’t just trying to close a gap; it’s trying to catch a rival that is still accelerating, pouring its own billions into staying ahead.

Ultimately, the future of Intel Corporation isn’t just about technology; it’s about identity. Will it successfully master both worlds, or will the strain of trying to be everything to everyone force it to eventually choose? Intel’s comeback attempt is one of the biggest and most expensive gambles in business history, and whether the fallen king can reclaim its throne is a story that is far from over.

Intel’s Defining Moment

For decades, the story of Intel was simple: it was the undisputed king of computer chips. The company’s recent stumbles, however, reveal a far more complex drama playing out behind the headlines of Intel stock decline. Its crisis can be traced to three core issues:

  • Manufacturing Delays: Intel’s factories, once its greatest strength, fell dangerously behind schedule, failing to master the next generation of chip-making technology.

  • Surging Competitors: Rivals like AMD and Apple embraced a more flexible model, designing powerful chips and hiring expert builder TSMC to make them faster.

  • A Risky Comeback: The company is now attempting a high-stakes turnaround, spending billions to upgrade its factories and, for the first time, build chips for other companies.

This is more than just a business story; it’s a defining moment for semiconductor industry trends that will shape the future of technology. As investors watch closely and ask, “is Intel a good investment now?”, the real question is whether the company’s massive gamble can rewrite the narrative. The story of Intel’s fall from grace is clear; the final chapter on its attempted comeback is still being written.

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By Raan (Harvard alumni)

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